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RJW1

ProbationPolymarket
0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6bde3f67
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $152.9K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$355.2K
PnL 90d
+$194.9K
ROI 90d
+5%
on $3.7M deployed
Entry edge
50%
49 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$11.6M
17344 trades
Breadth 90d
172
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:05
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1.1M29¢6.5¢$71,500-$247.4K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks40.7K52¢56¢$22,968+$1,788
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes86.7K23¢23¢$20,372+$436
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks30.6K53¢54¢$16,352+$153
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Grizzlies23.9K53¢54¢$13,053+$315
Grizzlies vs. RaptorsGrizzlies13.6K43¢44¢$6,072+$205
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Grizzlies4.9K49¢53¢$2,549+$188
Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks40K45¢0.0¢$0-$18.0K
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Knicks100K48¢0.0¢$0-$48.0K
Celtics vs. MagicMagic136.6K21¢0.0¢$0-$29.2K
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors204.2K50¢0.0¢$0-$102.0K
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors69.7K48¢0.0¢$0-$33.1K
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over60K52¢0.0¢$0-$31.2K
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?No62.9K39¢0.0¢$0-$24.5K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes54.8K72¢0.0¢$0-$39.3K
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over104.9K52¢0.0¢$0-$54.4K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC15K27¢0.0¢$0-$4,048
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Everton FC O/U 0.5Under6.928¢0.0¢$0-$2
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Over62.9K36¢0.0¢$0-$22.6K
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under261.5K47¢0.0¢$0-$123.5K
Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under17.9K38¢0.0¢$0-$6,821
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over94K30¢0.0¢$0-$28.2K
France vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under200.9K61¢0.0¢$0-$122.4K
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain160K53¢0.0¢$0-$85.6K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?No7.5K26¢0.0¢$0-$1,951
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Galatasaray SK191.8K47¢0.0¢$0-$90.0K
Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under100K41¢0.0¢$0-$41.0K
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC107.3K61¢0.0¢$0-$65.2K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?No84.1K33¢0.0¢$0-$27.9K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Over137.7K51¢0.0¢$0-$69.9K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Over150K35¢0.0¢$0-$52.5K
Pistons vs. HeatHeat100K48¢0.0¢$0-$48.0K
Rockets vs. SpursSpurs100K59¢0.0¢$0-$59.0K
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs5.2K48¢0.0¢$0-$2,487
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Over251.9K46¢0.0¢$0-$115.8K
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over90.447¢0.0¢$0-$42
Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks613.3K55¢0.0¢$0-$338.8K
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks310K49¢0.0¢$0-$151.9K
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF25.7K60¢0.0¢$0-$15.4K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC544.4K54¢0.0¢$0-$295.7K
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?No101.2K55¢0.0¢$0-$55.6K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes200K35¢0.0¢$0-$70.0K
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 1.5Over18.9K33¢0.0¢$0-$6,243
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC47.2K25¢0.0¢$0-$11.8K
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Yes225.9K21¢0.0¢$0-$47.7K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?No221.3K44¢0.0¢$0-$97.4K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC120.432¢0.0¢$0-$39
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-25?Yes2.1K30¢0.0¢$0-$638
Pistons vs. KnicksPistons353.7K40¢0.0¢$0-$139.9K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers190.8K50¢0.0¢$0-$95.1K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers186.5K52¢0.0¢$0-$96.9K
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers17.5K52¢0.0¢$0-$9,076
Heat vs. HawksHawks127.1K21¢0.0¢$0-$26.7K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes220K30¢0.0¢$0-$66.0K
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes260K35¢0.0¢$0-$91.0K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?Yes510.413¢0.0¢$0-$66
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes119.3K45¢0.0¢$0-$53.4K
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-05?Yes11.5K19¢0.0¢$0-$2,191
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes120.7K45¢0.0¢$0-$54.3K
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?Yes230K33¢0.0¢$0-$75.4K
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Yes66.7K26¢0.0¢$0-$17.3K
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?No230K40¢0.0¢$0-$91.6K
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?Yes241.7K31¢0.0¢$0-$74.8K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?No34.7K55¢0.0¢$0-$19.1K
Spread: France (-1.5)France3.4K30¢0.0¢$0-$1,026
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?No13.8K47¢0.0¢$0-$6,493
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?Yes159.8K46¢0.0¢$0-$73.5K
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?Yes224.8K53¢0.0¢$0-$119.4K
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?No176.7K42¢0.0¢$0-$73.7K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes157.5K57¢0.0¢$0-$89.2K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?No51.2K30¢0.0¢$0-$15.5K
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes280.7K39¢0.0¢$0-$109.3K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?No340.4K51¢0.0¢$0-$173.4K
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?No200.1K44¢0.0¢$0-$88.1K
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17?Yes147.1K32¢0.0¢$0-$47.1K
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?No19.1K55¢0.0¢$0-$10.5K
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC19.6K29¢0.0¢$0-$5,682
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Yes837.1K40¢0.0¢$0-$334.7K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?Yes660.4K47¢0.0¢$0-$310.4K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?No388K55¢0.0¢$0-$211.6K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?Yes261.7K31¢0.0¢$0-$80.5K
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee BrewersTampa Bay Rays130K39¢0.0¢$0-$51.1K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes301.9K60¢0.0¢$0-$181.0K
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes310K52¢0.0¢$0-$160.6K
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?Yes35.4K57¢0.0¢$0-$20.0K
Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over9.1K53¢0.0¢$0-$4,807
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC54.5K33¢0.0¢$0-$18.0K
Manchester United FC leading at halftime?Yes13.7K54¢0.0¢$0-$7,350
AFC Bournemouth vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over7K53¢0.0¢$0-$3,716
Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under160K45¢0.0¢$0-$72.0K
Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Yes150K27¢0.0¢$0-$40.5K
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Yes200K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$12.0K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?Yes230.7K13¢0.0¢$0-$30.6K
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Over4.8K50¢0.0¢$0-$2,403
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets51.6K52¢0.0¢$0-$26.7K
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Over62.1K51¢0.0¢$0-$31.7K
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Over1.4K54¢0.0¢$0-$730
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets24.7K48¢0.0¢$0-$11.8K
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes1.2M42¢0.0¢$0-$498.1K
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under330K46¢0.0¢$0-$151.8K
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under150K31¢0.0¢$0-$46.5K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2.5M16¢0.0¢$0-$404.7K
Bulls vs. KnicksBulls80.1K9.8¢0.0¢$0-$7,840
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes420K29¢0.0¢$0-$121.0K
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves52.1K51¢0.0¢$0-$26.6K
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves6.4K45¢0.0¢$0-$2,895
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes473.5K41¢0.0¢$0-$194.1K
Spurs vs. NuggetsSpurs112.2K57¢0.0¢$0-$63.7K
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Yes164.6K24¢0.0¢$0-$40.0K
Timberwolves vs. 76ersTimberwolves78.4K44¢0.0¢$0-$34.8K
Hawks vs. KnicksHawks100K31¢0.0¢$0-$31.0K
Pistons vs. MagicPistons91.4K62¢0.0¢$0-$56.4K
Thunder vs. SunsSuns101.2K22¢0.0¢$0-$22.0K
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No240K46¢0.0¢$0-$110.4K
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC70K41¢0.0¢$0-$28.7K
Raptors vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies74.4K13¢0.0¢$0-$9,414
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes243.3K53¢0.0¢$0-$128.3K
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?Yes123.9K23¢0.0¢$0-$28.7K
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs56.1K49¢0.0¢$0-$27.7K
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers100K42¢0.0¢$0-$42.0K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?Yes151.9K31¢0.0¢$0-$46.9K
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets45.7K51¢0.0¢$0-$23.1K
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under49.9K42¢0.0¢$0-$21.0K
Hornets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves92.5K47¢0.0¢$0-$43.7K
Lakers vs. MavericksLakers115.5K56¢0.0¢$0-$64.1K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC54.7K38¢0.0¢$0-$21.0K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes312.3K51¢0.0¢$0-$160.1K
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over48.6K33¢0.0¢$0-$16.1K
Pistons vs. MagicPistons59.8K37¢0.0¢$0-$22.2K
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes90K24¢0.0¢$0-$21.6K
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves140K49¢0.0¢$0-$68.6K
76ers vs. Knicks76ers100K29¢0.0¢$0-$29.0K
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?Yes60K16¢0.0¢$0-$9,600
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil37.5K25¢0.0¢$0-$9,298
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Sweden143K28¢0.0¢$0-$40.0K
Canada leading at halftime?Yes95K42¢0.0¢$0-$39.9K
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal47.9K41¢0.0¢$0-$19.7K
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Over40K27¢0.0¢$0-$10.8K
France leading at halftime?Yes75K62¢0.0¢$0-$46.2K
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsYes73.1K35¢0.0¢$0-$25.5K
Michael Olise: 2+ goalsYes87.1K7.6¢0.0¢$0-$6,608
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes49.8K40¢0.0¢$0-$19.9K
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic146.9K20¢0.0¢$0-$29.4K
Spread: France (-1.5)France62.9K33¢0.0¢$0-$20.7K
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes200K8.4¢0.0¢$0-$16.8K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes53.2K23¢0.0¢$0-$12.2K
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes180.3K42¢0.0¢$0-$76.3K
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes197.5K26¢0.0¢$0-$52.0K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes97.6K20¢0.0¢$0-$20.0K
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over112K54¢0.0¢$0-$60.6K
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes151.5K36¢0.0¢$0-$54.8K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC37.3K36¢0.0¢$0-$13.5K
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Over140K49¢0.0¢$0-$68.6K
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over260K46¢0.0¢$0-$120.8K
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?Yes64.7K45¢0.0¢$0-$28.9K
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia241.1K37¢0.0¢$0-$90.4K
Morocco leading at halftime?Yes100K42¢0.0¢$0-$42.0K
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia68.5K52¢0.0¢$0-$35.6K
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes110K11¢0.0¢$0-$12.1K
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Sinner25K41¢0.0¢$0-$10.2K
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes200K33¢0.0¢$0-$66.5K
France leading at halftime?Yes46.5K44¢0.0¢$0-$20.5K
France to score first vs. England?Yes1.3K61¢0.0¢$0-$799
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes166.6K37¢0.0¢$0-$61.1K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?Yes270.7K48¢0.0¢$0-$131.0K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona119.8K34¢0.0¢$0-$40.9K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes176K34¢0.0¢$0-$60.2K
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Yes284.3K39¢0.0¢$0-$110.9K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?Yes115.5K53¢0.0¢$0-$61.2K
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Lakers80K50¢0.0¢$0-$40.0K
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Saudi Arabia228.4K52¢0.0¢$0-$119.9K
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes25.9K54¢0.0¢$0-$13.8K
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes380K43¢0.0¢$0-$162.1K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes409.8K52¢0.0¢$0-$212.2K
England leading at halftime?Yes235.1K28¢0.0¢$0-$65.8K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?Yes280K46¢0.0¢$0-$128.8K
Spread: England (-1.5)England300K16¢0.0¢$0-$48.0K
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Yes40.1K56¢0.0¢$0-$22.4K
Italy vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under104K61¢0.0¢$0-$63.3K
Nuggets vs. PelicansPelicans136.7K37¢0.0¢$0-$50.3K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Pelicans22050¢0.0¢$0-$110
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?Yes206.5K32¢0.0¢$0-$66.1K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers80K49¢0.0¢$0-$39.6K