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Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?

ActiveLiquidity $13.1K·Volume $21.8K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes14%No86%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 20:23computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
86% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
86%price86%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,467 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$531
72h +$571
Smart money entered70¢86¢at 20:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$13.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,467 riding on it.

The price of 86% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 86¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,467 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$531, +$571 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 20:23
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6h agopIebeTopSellNo85¢$3
6h agopIebeTopSellNo85¢$3
6h agopIebeTopBuyNo83¢$260
6h agopIebeTopBuyNo83¢$260
6h agopIebeTopSellNo85¢$2
6h agopIebeTopSellNo85¢$2
1d agopIebeTopBuyNo82¢$22
1d agopIebeTopBuyNo82¢$16
1w agopIebeTopSellNo68¢$3
1w agopIebeTopSellNo66¢$3
1w agopIebeTopBuyNo63¢$430
1w agopIebeTopSellNo64¢$32
1w agopIebeTopSellNo64¢$7
1w agopIebeTopSellNo64¢$65
1w agopIebeTopSellNo63¢$3
1w agopIebeTopBuyNo50¢$237
1w agopIebeTopBuyNo47¢$4
1w agopIebeTopBuyNo52¢$5
1w agopIebeTopBuyNo60¢$6
1w agopIebeTopBuyNo64¢$3
2w agopIebeTopBuyNo67¢$147
2w agopIebeTopBuyNo67¢$3
2w agopIebeTopBuyNo71¢$142
2w agopIebeTopBuyNo70¢$4
2w agopIebeTopSellNo76¢$546
2w agopIebeTopBuyNo75¢$1,538
3w agopIebeTopBuyNo72¢$4
3w agopIebeTopBuyYes12¢$5
3w agopIebeTopSellNo90¢$18
3w agopIebeTopSellNo90¢$0
3w agopIebeTopBuyNo77¢$374