Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $13.1K·Volume $21.8K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
No
86% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
86%price86%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,467 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$531
72h +$571
Smart money entered70¢86¢at 20:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$13.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,467 riding on it.
The price of 86% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 86¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,467 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$531, +$571 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $260 |
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $260 |
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $22 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 68¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $430 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 64¢ | $32 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 64¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 64¢ | $65 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 63¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 50¢ | $237 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 64¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 67¢ | $147 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 67¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $142 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 76¢ | $546 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $1,538 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $374 |