Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $15.0K·Volume $35.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,238 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$63
Smart money entered79¢96¢at 21:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,238 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,238 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$63 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 92¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $10 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $31 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $180 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $140 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $45 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $105 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $44 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $94 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $141 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $497 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $45 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $186 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $3,621 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $97 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $59 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $218 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $41 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $1,474 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $562 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $174 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $459 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $314 |