Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $19.5K·Volume $69.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$8,459 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered79¢91¢at 18:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$19.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,459 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $8,459 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 81¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $456 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 78¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $1,037 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $493 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $44 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $653 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $73 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $97 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $784 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $1,021 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $184 |