Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 8?
ActiveLiquidity $5,807·Volume $10.3K·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$789
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 00:35Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 8, 2026)Liquidity$5,807
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$789 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $135 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $262 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $262 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $582 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $111 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $35 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $36 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $16 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 57¢ | $100 |