Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?
ActiveLiquidity $10.8K·Volume $21.2K·Ends Nov 6, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,054
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 02:27(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 6, 2026)Liquidity$10.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,054 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $161 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | stupid22Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $731 |
| 4d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 14¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $23 |
| 5d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $3 |
| 5d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $16 |