FAA outage attributed to hack?
ActiveLiquidity $258·Volume $0·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$4,941 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,499
72h +$8,499
Smart money entered92¢96¢at 02:02(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 17d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$258
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,941 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,941 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,499, +$8,499 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $190 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $12 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,504 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,504 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $27 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $182 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $92 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $867 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $41 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 1h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $35 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,067 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $384 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $384 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $8 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $836 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | 0x9112edc7d8a99ce2d688b8e1c6ab889f30d1642Top | Buy | No | 95¢ | $836 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $20 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $173 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $182 |
| 2h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $735 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $165 |
| 2h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $165 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $243 |