TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 AM ET?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $6,694·Volume $111.8K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:52Smart money exiting · $955 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$641 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$591
72h +$591
Smart money entered64¢99¢at 01:52Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 2h 7m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$6,694
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $641 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 64¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot.

Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $641 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$591, +$591 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x2b0b…3cfcMidSellNo1.0¢$7
1h ago0x2b0b…3cfcMidSellNo1.0¢$7
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes96¢$1,221
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes96¢$1,221
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes96¢$19
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes96¢$19
1h agoCarMidSellYes89¢$445
1h agoCarMidSellYes89¢$426
1h agoCarMidSellYes89¢$426
1h ago0x5999…ae94MidBuyYes62¢$11
1h ago0x5999…ae94MidBuyYes61¢$11
1h agoCarMidBuyYes60¢$53
1h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$10
1h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$6
1h agoCarMidBuyYes28¢$56
1h agoCarMidBuyYes29¢$58
1h agoCarMidBuyYes30¢$17
1h agoCarMidBuyYes30¢$43
1h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$11
1h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$0
1h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$50
2h agoCarMidBuyYes30¢$60
2h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$62
2h agoCarMidBuyYes32¢$32
2h agoTenebrus7MidSellNo60¢$184
2h agoCarMidBuyNo54¢$5
2h agoCarMidBuyNo54¢$334
2h ago0x2b0b…3cfcMidBuyNo50¢$244
2h ago0x2b0b…3cfcMidBuyNo50¢$1
2h ago0x2b0b…3cfcMidBuyNo50¢$5
2h ago0x2b0b…3cfcMidBuyNo50¢$5
2h ago0x2b0b…3cfcMidBuyNo48¢$96
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes57¢$143
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes57¢$17
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes57¢$46
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes57¢$46
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes57¢$46
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes57¢$46
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$12
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$36
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$31
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$31
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$36
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$31
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$31
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$24
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$24
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$49
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$49
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes55¢$8