Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
ActiveLiquidity $166.9K·Volume $2.9M·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
51%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,920 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,920
Smart money entered49¢0.1¢at 14:02(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 8, 2026)Liquidity$166.9K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Yes", with $1,920 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 0.1¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,920 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | ch27erTop | Sell | No | 100¢ | $36,022 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 71¢ | $284 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $926 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $116 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $249 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $84 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 1d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $1,319 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $27,916 |
| 1d ago | ch27erTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $6,400 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $44,666 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $39,083 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $27,916 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $39,083 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $27,916 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $22,333 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $33,499 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $11,166 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $22,333 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $39,083 |
| 1d ago | ch27erTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $12,800 |
| 1d ago | juice-fruitMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $51,275 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $27,916 |
| 1d ago | CORGIITop | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $10,255 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $27,916 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $44,666 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $22,333 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $39,083 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $89,332 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $111,665 |
| 1d ago | nb1985Top | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $8,471 |
| 1d ago | totoro3miyazakiMid | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $60,192 |