Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,823·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
13
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,235
Smart money entered83¢100¢at 04:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,823
Explanation
13 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,235 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $421 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $421 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $1,944 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 72¢ | $81 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 73¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 59¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $1 |