Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,743·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,638
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,743
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,638 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $108 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $899 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Sell | Up | 57¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $36 |