Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,859·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$19.9K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,859
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$19.9K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,079 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,079 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $578 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $578 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,226 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,586 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,226 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,586 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,565 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $412 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,565 |
| 2d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $412 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $408 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $408 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Down | 3.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 82¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 43¢ | $2 |