Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,873·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,439
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,873
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,439 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $213 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $213 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $371 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $371 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $557 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $557 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Down | 3.0¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | Patron7777Mid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $105 |
| 2d ago | Patron7777Mid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $105 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Sell | Up | 69¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Down | 46¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $26 |