Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$256
72h +$256
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:17(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy20h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$256, +$256 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $43 |
| 20h ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 20h ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $57 |
| 20h ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $57 |
| 21h ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $46 |
| 21h ago | 0x30cc…f47dMid | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $226 |