Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $2,997·Volume $490·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$242 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$484
Smart money entered96¢96¢at 07:24(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,997
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $242 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $242 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$484 on this position.