XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $3,977·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$569
72h +$569
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:52(5% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$3,977
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 5% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$569, +$569 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $50 |
| 1h ago | NihiIismTop | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $12 |
| 1h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | NihiIismTop | Buy | Down | 2.1¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | NihiIismTop | Buy | Down | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | NihiIismTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $15 |