Set Handicap: Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Karolina Muchova (+1.5)
ActiveLiquidity $22.6K·Volume $3·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Aryna Sabalenka50%Karolina Muchova50%
Smart money leans
Karolina Muchova
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
64%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$348 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$697
Smart money entered60¢50¢at 06:39(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 6d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$22.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Karolina Muchova", with $348 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $348 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$697 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:39