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Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $283·Volume $0·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Carole Monnet100%Leyre Romero Gormaz0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:59computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Carole Monnet
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$23.1K
Smart money entered65¢100¢at 02:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$283
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Carole Monnet", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$23.1K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:59
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago6512395314597884MidSellCarole Monnet99¢$138
1d ago0x1d1d…f2dfMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz4.0¢$1
1d ago0x1d1d…f2dfMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz4.0¢$1
1d ago0x8ec7…4a76MidBuyCarole Monnet96¢$1,436
1d ago0x8ec7…4a76MidBuyCarole Monnet96¢$1,436
1d ago6512395314597884MidSellCarole Monnet96¢$805
1d ago6512395314597884MidSellCarole Monnet96¢$9
1d ago6512395314597884MidSellCarole Monnet96¢$50
1d ago0xdd8e…f023MidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz4.0¢$73
1d ago6512395314597884MidSellCarole Monnet96¢$1,056
1d ago0xdd8e…f023MidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz4.0¢$73
1d agoHVABMidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz27¢$718
1d ago6512395314597884MidSellCarole Monnet73¢$1,460
1d agoHVABMidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz27¢$746
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet65¢$82
1d ago12xmrboltMidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz49¢$227
1d ago12xmrboltMidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz49¢$227
1d ago6512395314597884MidSellCarole Monnet57¢$85
1d ago12xmrboltMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz54¢$1,000
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet46¢$852
1d ago12xmrboltMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz54¢$1,000
1d ago12xmrboltMidSellCarole Monnet52¢$478
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$329
1d ago12xmrboltMidSellCarole Monnet52¢$478
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$234
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$477
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$113
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$99
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$137
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$4
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$4
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet53¢$6
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet53¢$4
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet53¢$3
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet53¢$4
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet53¢$4
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet53¢$3
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet56¢$1,120
1d agoHVABMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz44¢$1,251
1d agoHVABMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz44¢$1,215
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet58¢$1,160
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet51¢$60
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet51¢$14
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet51¢$35
1d agoHVABMidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz36¢$134
1d agoHVABMidSellLeyre Romero Gormaz36¢$134
1d agoHVABMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz49¢$183
1d agoHVABMidBuyLeyre Romero Gormaz49¢$183
1d agoHVABMidSellCarole Monnet52¢$2,155
1d ago6512395314597884MidBuyCarole Monnet52¢$1,040