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WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $12.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Marta Kostyuk0%Jessica Pegula100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:10computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Jessica Pegula
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$25.1K
Smart money entered85¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$12.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Jessica Pegula", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$25.1K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$944
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$944
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$226
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$150
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$150
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$18
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$18
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$6
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$6
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$126
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$126
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$2
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$2
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$56
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$56
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$81
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$81
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$2
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$2
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$3
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$3
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$186
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$79
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$186
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$79
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$8
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$8
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$11
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$58
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$58
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$43
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$165
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$433
2d ago0x59ba…f6a2MidBuyJessica Pegula100¢$9,391
2d agokitopesivanMidBuyJessica Pegula79¢$20
2d ago0xa521…d609MidSellMarta Kostyuk20¢$25
2d ago0xc9a2…7f83MidBuyJessica Pegula74¢$20
2d ago0xa521…d609MidBuyMarta Kostyuk23¢$10
2d ago0xa521…d609MidBuyMarta Kostyuk23¢$31
2d ago0xc9a2…7f83MidBuyJessica Pegula80¢$81
2d ago0xa34f…4d3aMidBuyMarta Kostyuk19¢$247
2d ago0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192MidBuyMarta Kostyuk11¢$60
2d ago0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192MidBuyMarta Kostyuk11¢$60
2d ago0xb35f…9f0fMidBuyJessica Pegula86¢$101
2d ago0xc7ed…6c8bMidBuyJessica Pegula71¢$2,161
2d agorandomguyfromMidBuyJessica Pegula79¢$252
2d agokitopesivanMidBuyJessica Pegula65¢$13
2d ago0xa34f…4d3aMidBuyMarta Kostyuk36¢$244
2d ago0xa34f…4d3aMidBuyMarta Kostyuk36¢$107
2d ago0xa34f…4d3aMidBuyMarta Kostyuk37¢$343