Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $35.5K·Volume $23.2K·Ends Apr 1, 2028
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$500 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢90¢at 05:33(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4w agoResolvesin 507d(Apr 1, 2028)Liquidity$35.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $500 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $500 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $516 |