Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $4,274·Volume $2,586·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$412 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢96¢at 05:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 157d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$4,274
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $412 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $412 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0x9cb9…7b80Mid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | 0x9cb9…7b80Mid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $195 |
| 1w ago | 0x9cb9…7b80Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $609 |