Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?
ActiveLiquidity $976·Volume $7,723·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes25%No75%
Smart money leans
No
76% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
83%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
76%price76%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,900 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$212
72h +$248
Smart money entered86¢76¢at 00:22(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$976
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $1,900 riding on it.
The price of 76% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 76¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,900 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$212, +$248 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $62 |
| 10h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $62 |
| 12h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 77¢ | $77 |
| 1d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $37 |
| 4d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $29 |
| 4d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $60 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $422 |
| 5d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $24 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $57 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $44 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $85 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $33 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $13 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $167 |
| 5d ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $99 |
| 5d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $13 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 5d ago | justme003Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $1,216 |
| 6d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $21 |
| 6d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $84 |
| 6d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $45 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 37¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 46¢ | $228 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $70 |
| 1w ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $67 |