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Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?

ActiveLiquidity $976·Volume $7,723·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes25%No75%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:22computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
76% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
83%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
76%price76%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,900 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$212
72h +$248
Smart money entered86¢76¢at 00:22(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$976
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $1,900 riding on it.

The price of 76% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 76¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,900 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$212, +$248 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:22
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h agoTokorTopBuyNo69¢$62
10h agoTokorTopBuyNo69¢$62
12h agograsstoucher69TopBuyNo77¢$77
1d agograsstoucher69TopBuyNo78¢$37
4d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes26¢$29
4d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes25¢$5
5d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes15¢$60
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo84¢$422
5d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes18¢$1
5d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes14¢$2
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$24
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$57
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$44
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$85
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$33
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$7
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$7
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$13
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$7
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$167
5d agoTokorTopBuyYes13¢$99
5d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes13¢$13
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$87
5d agojustme003MidBuyNo87¢$1,216
6d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes18¢$0
6d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes21¢$21
6d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes21¢$84
6d agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes23¢$3
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes56¢$45
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyNo37¢$13
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes48¢$10
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes51¢$3
1w agoTokorTopBuyNo46¢$228
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes59¢$21
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes64¢$25
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes63¢$70
1w agograsstoucher69TopBuyYes60¢$67