Will Wisconsin win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?
ActiveLiquidity $3,328·Volume $1,198·Ends Apr 20, 2027
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:32Smart money exiting · $545 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$311 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$545
72h -$544
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 07:32Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 160d(Apr 20, 2027)Liquidity$3,328
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $311 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $311 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$545, -$544 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $26 |
| 6h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $43 |
| 6h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $43 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $37 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $37 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $34 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $26 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $8 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $38 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $21 |
| 7h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $19 |
| 12h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $8 |
| 12h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $84 |
| 12h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $8 |
| 12h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $76 |
| 12h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $11 |
| 12h ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $852 |