Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $12.7K·Volume $6,807·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes74%No26%
Smart money leans
Yes
74% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
74%price74%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$316 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered57¢74¢at 07:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$12.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $316 riding on it.
The price of 74% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 74¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $316 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $322 |