Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $17.1K·Volume $23.7K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$636 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢93¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$17.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $636 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $636 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 2w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $327 |
| 2w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $18 |
| 5w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $624 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $119 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $100 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $918 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $312 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $890 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $32 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $45 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $45 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 89¢ | $3 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $2,494 |
| 12w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $25 |
| 13w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $258 |
| 13w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $3 |