Will voter turnout be less than 62% in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $9,212·Volume $1,285·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$354 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢95¢at 06:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$9,212
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $354 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $354 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $298 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $41 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $23 |