Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $7,352·Volume $7,787·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
No
77% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
77%price77%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$362 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$624
72h +$624
Smart money entered73¢77¢at 07:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$7,352
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $362 riding on it.
The price of 77% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 77¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $362 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$624, +$624 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $298 |
| 10h ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $298 |
| 6d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $42 |
| 3w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $4 |