Will United Arab Emirates win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
ActiveLiquidity $1,828·Volume $4,788·Ends Feb 6, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$600 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,587
72h +$1,596
Smart money entered90¢96¢at 21:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 87d(Feb 6, 2027)Liquidity$1,828
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $600 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $600 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,587, +$1,596 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $891 |
| 6h ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $891 |
| 2d ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 6w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $13 |