Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $8,983·Volume $8,353·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$698 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 02:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$8,983
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $698 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $698 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $678 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | No | 88¢ | $107 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $66 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $18 |