Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,773·Volume $19.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes15%No85%
Smart money leans
No
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$456 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered63¢85¢at 03:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,773
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $456 riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 63¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $456 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No smart trades recorded yet. | |||||