Will T.J. Watt win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
ActiveLiquidity $1,328·Volume $2,474·Ends Feb 11, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$349 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered92¢94¢at 17:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 92d(Feb 11, 2027)Liquidity$1,328
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $349 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $349 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.