Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?
ResolvedLiquidity $114·Volume $6,758·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,122
72h +$1,122
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:40(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$114
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,122, +$1,122 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $561 |
| 10h ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $561 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $16 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $64 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $16 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $48 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $3 |
| 4w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $3 |
| 4w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $9 |