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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?

ResolvedLiquidity $114·Volume $6,758·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:40computed 2h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,122
72h +$1,122
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:40(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$114
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,122, +$1,122 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:40
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h agopelikMidBuyYes100¢$561
10h agopelikMidBuyYes100¢$561
1w agoshiifooMidBuyYes9.0¢$4
1w agoshiifooMidBuyYes11¢$4
1w agoshiifooMidBuyYes14¢$2
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes12¢$4
1w agoshiifooMidBuyYes13¢$3
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo82¢$16
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo82¢$1
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo82¢$16
2w agoshiifooMidBuyNo75¢$15
2w agoshiifooMidBuyNo73¢$64
2w agoshiifooMidBuyNo80¢$16
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo69¢$48
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo59¢$6
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo64¢$6
3w agoshiifooMidBuyYes17¢$3
3w agoshiifooMidBuyYes22¢$3
4w agoshiifooMidBuyYes21¢$3
4w agoshiifooMidBuyYes22¢$9