Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
ActiveLiquidity $53·Volume $9,232·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes51%No49%
Smart money leans
Yes
51% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
77%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$405 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered49¢51¢at 07:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$53
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Yes", with $405 riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $405 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $135 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $190 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $85 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $17 |
| 4w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $12 |
| 4w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $8 |