Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?
ActiveLiquidity $303·Volume $9,109·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes77%No23%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$273 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered44¢96¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$303
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $273 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 44¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $273 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $273 |