Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $8,473·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,041 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$193
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 07:13(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,041 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,041 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$193 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $96 |
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $71 |
| 3d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $866 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $34 |
| 5w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $8 |