Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $10.4K·Volume $33.1K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$255 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢94¢at 07:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$10.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $255 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $255 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $57 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $28 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $85 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $71 |