Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $3,353·Volume $1,694·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes9%No92%
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$633 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered87¢92¢at 05:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 48d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$3,353
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $633 riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $633 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | 0x73e3…3239Mid | Sell | No | 91¢ | $90 |
| 3w ago | 0x73e3…3239Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $719 |