Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $60.6K·Volume $31.9K·Ends Mar 18, 2027
Price now:Yes41%No60%
Smart money leans
Yes
41% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
41%price41%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$880 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered61¢41¢at 07:18(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 127d(Mar 18, 2027)Liquidity$60.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $880 riding on it.
The price of 41% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 61¢; the price was 41¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $880 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.