Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in November 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $5,173·Volume $2,508·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,179 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered100¢99¢at 07:59(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 16d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$5,173
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,179 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,179 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $100 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,108 |
| 2w ago | haveagooddayMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | RobbbTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $12 |