Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $194·Volume $11.6K·Ends Jan 15, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,048 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢99¢at 07:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 65d(Jan 15, 2027)Liquidity$194
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,048 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,048 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | .ethguyMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $235 |
| 8w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $351 |
| 8w ago | .ethguyMid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $773 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $10 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $14 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $26 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $17 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $4 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.6¢ | $29 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 9w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $653 |