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Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $362·Volume $13.1K·Ends Jan 15, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:22computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,810 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered94¢99¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 65d(Jan 15, 2027)Liquidity$362
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,810 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,810 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
8w agotitle1MidSellYes0.8¢$1
8w ago.ethguyMidSellNo100¢$65
8w ago.ethguyMidSellNo100¢$50
8w ago.ethguyMidSellNo100¢$100
8w ago.ethguyMidBuyNo94¢$1,984
8w agotitle1MidBuyYes6.0¢$12
9w agotitle1MidBuyNo93¢$9
9w agotitle1MidBuyNo94¢$94