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Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $88.1K·Volume $61.2K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:42computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,245 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢97¢at 07:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$88.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,245 riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $4,245 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:42
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$19
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$1,684
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$11
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$4
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$5
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$19
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$6
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo96¢$5
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$5
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$19
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$19
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$5
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$6
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$116
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$39
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$261
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$387
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$682
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$77
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$886
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$39
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$4
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$19
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$8
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo96¢$5
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$3
1w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$6
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo96¢$4
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$6
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$19
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$5
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$58
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$270
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$696
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$19
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$232
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$406
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$618
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$213
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$600
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$794
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$6
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$387
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$871
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$755
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo97¢$39
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes3.2¢$4
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes3.1¢$20