Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?
ActiveLiquidity $22·Volume $4,078·Ends Nov 3, 2026
Price now:Yes25%No75%
Smart money leans
No
75% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
75%price75%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$410 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered81¢75¢at 06:51(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 3, 2026)Liquidity$22
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $410 riding on it.
The price of 75% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 75¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $410 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $21 |
| 3d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $425 |