Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?
ActiveLiquidity $118·Volume $6,399·Ends Nov 3, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$621 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered87¢98¢at 06:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesended(Nov 3, 2026)Liquidity$118
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $621 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $621 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | Jellow2Top | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $207 |
| 1w ago | Jellow2Top | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $86 |
| 1w ago | Jellow2Top | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $331 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $15 |
| 4w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $18 |