Will the Tampa Bay Lightning record 110+ points?
ActiveLiquidity $1,436·Volume $1,263·Ends Apr 30, 2027
Price now:Yes49%No52%
Smart money leans
No
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$287 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered61¢52¢at 05:15(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 168d(Apr 30, 2027)Liquidity$1,436
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $287 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 61¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $287 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $220 |
| 6w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $138 |
| 6w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $4 |