Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $2,258·Volume $6,087·Ends Jun 24, 2027
Price now:Yes71%No29%
Smart money leans
Yes
71% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
71%price71%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$532 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,506
72h +$423
Smart money entered52¢71¢at 11:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 225d(Jun 24, 2027)Liquidity$2,258
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $532 riding on it.
The price of 71% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 71¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $532 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,506, +$423 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $540 |
| 10h ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $540 |
| 10h ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $8 |
| 10h ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $544 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $544 |
| 3d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $12 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $31 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $16 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $55 |
| 4d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $307 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $13 |