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Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

ActiveLiquidity $13.3K·Volume $10.6K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:20computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$256 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered51¢99¢at 03:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$13.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $256 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $256 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:20
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2w agoG.HchenTopBuyYes52¢$10
2w agoG.HchenTopBuyYes52¢$42
2w agoG.HchenTopBuyYes58¢$29
3w agoG.HchenTopBuyYes51¢$36
3w agoG.HchenTopBuyYes50¢$90
3w agoG.HchenTopBuyYes49¢$49