Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
ActiveLiquidity $319·Volume $7,006·Ends Feb 16, 2027
Price now:Yes63%No37%
Smart money leans
No
37% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
37%price37%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$421 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢37¢at 11:31(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 97d(Feb 16, 2027)Liquidity$319
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $421 riding on it.
The price of 37% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 37¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $421 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.