Will the Republicans win South Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $40·Volume $0·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes74%No26%
Smart money leans
Yes
74% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
74%price74%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$897 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,898
72h +$1,898
Smart money entered69¢74¢at 03:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 725d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$40
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $897 riding on it.
The price of 74% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 74¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $897 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,898, +$1,898 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $897 |
| 2h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $897 |