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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more?

ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $7,899·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 08:25computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,552
72h +$7,552
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 08:25(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,552, +$7,552 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 08:25
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
14h agoCoinTrickMidBuyYes100¢$3,776
14h agoCoinTrickMidBuyYes100¢$3,776
6d agoshiifooMidBuyNo3.0¢$0
6d agoshiifooMidBuyNo5.0¢$0
1w agoancianoMidBuyNo100¢$60
1w agoancianoMidBuyNo95¢$20
1w agothanksforplayinTopBuyYes39¢$20
1w agoshiifooMidBuyYes10¢$2
2w agoshiifooMidBuyNo97¢$39
2w agoshiifooMidBuyNo98¢$23
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo92¢$46
3w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopSellNo91¢$1
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo92¢$5
3w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopSellNo91¢$72
3w agoshiifooMidBuyNo91¢$72
3w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopSellNo90¢$117
3w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyNo92¢$28
3w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopSellNo91¢$121
3w agoshiifooMidBuyYes7.9¢$1
3w agoshiifooMidBuyYes7.9¢$1
4w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyNo90¢$36
4w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyNo82¢$8
4w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyNo94¢$20
4w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyNo93¢$82
4w agoshiifooMidBuyYes10.0¢$8
4w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyNo95¢$29
5w ago0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTopBuyNo93¢$116
6w agoshiifooMidBuyYes6.3¢$2
6w agoshiifooMidBuyYes6.3¢$1