Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more?
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $7,899·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,552
72h +$7,552
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 08:25(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,552, +$7,552 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $3,776 |
| 14h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $3,776 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $60 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $23 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $46 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $72 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $72 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 90¢ | $117 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $28 |
| 3w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $121 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 7.9¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 7.9¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $36 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $82 |
| 4w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 10.0¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $29 |
| 5w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $116 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $1 |